96th Academy Award Final Predictions

Tonight, the 96th Academy Awards will present their winners for the best films of the year. And while we are looking at the best field of Best Picture nominees in perhaps over a decade, let’s not kid ourselves too much. We are looking at an Oscar sweep, folks.

In case you haven’t been able to tell, Oppenheimer is looking to win a whopping eight Oscars, including Picture, Director (Nolan), Actor (Cillian Murphy), Supporting Actor (Robert Donwey Jr.), Score, Sound, Cinematography, and Film Editing. This will make it the biggest winner since Slumdog Millionaire, and will help it tie the Preferential Ballot-era record set in 1939 by Gone With the Wind. And that’s not even touching on its chances to upset in Best Adapted Screenplay and Best Production Design. This will make for a historic night, and it’s hard not to feel simultaneously a little excited and a little bored.

Rounding out the Big Six, expect Da’Vine Joy Randolph to continue her deserved Supporting Actress sweep for her work in The Holdovers. And luckily, Best Actress will give us the only close race of the night. Lily Gladstone and Emma Stone have been in a nail-biter all year, with both actresses winning the Golden Globe, Gladstone winning at SAG, and Stone winning the BAFTA. Ultimately, I think Gladstone has the edge – SAG is the bigger voting bloc, Emma’s film is ultimately too weird outside of the tech categories, and Gladstone has the better “story” (first Native American to win an acting category). But it’s gonna be close, folks.

A few other categories offer up close races: Best Visual Effects will see Godzilla Minus One against The Creator (expect Godzilla to win). Animated Feature will see The Boy and the Heron against Spider-Man (gotta go with Miyazaki here). And Barbie finds itself facing off against two heavy hitters in Production Design and Adapted Screenplay, where it will likely lose to Poor Things and American Fiction, respectively. Don’t feel too bad for the billion-dollar behemoth, however. It will still take home Best Song (for the wrong song, but whatever) and Best Costume Design.

As for the other locks, Maestro should take home Best Makeup rather easily, The Zone of Interest will win Best International Feature in a cakewalk, Anatomy of a Fall should hold off The Holdovers in Best Original Screenplay, and 20 Days in Mariupol should win Best Documentary Feature outright. As for the Shorts, it’s a bit challenging this year because I kinda thought they were all bad. I’m going with Ninety-Five Senses in Best Animated Short over War Is Over! because I liked it more and kinda want the Napoleon Dynamite guys to win an Oscar. Henry Sugar is the only real film in Live Action, so expect Wes Anderson to win his first Oscar. And while I preferred The Barber of Little Rock to The Last Repair Shop, I think the latter is the film the Academy will like more (if it’s ABCs of Book Banning I will throw something at my TV).

So those are my predictions for this year’s Oscars! In a few short hours, we’ll know for sure who our winners are, and we’ll have a new Best Picture winner. You can see all the nominees below, with an * marking my predictions. It’s Oscar night, people! Let’s get pumped!

Best Picture

  • American Fiction
  • Anatomy of a Fall
  • Barbie
  • The Holdovers
  • Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Maestro
  • Oppenheimer *
  • Past Lives
  • Poor Things
  • The Zone of Interest

Best Actor

  • Bradley Cooper – Maestro
  • Colman Domingo – Rustin
  • Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers
  • Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer *
  • Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction

Best Actress

  • Annette Bening – Nyad
  • Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon *
  • Sandra Hüller – Anatomy of a Fall
  • Carey Mulligan – Maestro
  • Emma Stone – Poor Things

Best Supporting Actor

  • Sterling K. Brown – American Fiction
  • Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer *
  • Ryan Gosling – Barbie
  • Mark Ruffalo – Poor Things

Best Supporting Actress

  • Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer
  • Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple
  • America Ferrera – Barbie
  • Jodie Foster – Nyad
  • Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers *

Best Director

  • Jonathan Glazer – The Zone of Interest
  • Yorgos Lanthimos – Poor Things
  • Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer *
  • Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Justine Triet – Anatomy of a Fall

Best Original Screenplay

  • Anatomy of a Fall *
  • The Holdovers
  • Maestro
  • May December
  • Past Lives

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • American Fiction *
  • Barbie
  • Oppenheimer
  • Poor Things
  • The Zone of Interest

Best Animated Feature

  • The Boy and the Heron *
  • Elemental
  • Nimona
  • Robot Dreams
  • Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Best International Feature

  • Io Capitano
  • Perfect Days
  • Society of the Snow
  • The Teacher’s Lounge
  • The Zone of Interest *

Best Documentary Feature

  • Bobi Wine: The People’s President
  • The Eternal Memory
  • Four Daughters
  • To Kill a Tiger
  • 20 Days in Mariupol *

Best Documentary Short

  • The ABCs of Book Banning
  • The Barber of Little Rock
  • Island In Between
  • The Last Repair Shop *
  • Nāi Nai and Wāi Pó

Best Animated Short

  • Letter to a Pig
  • Ninety-Five Senses *
  • Our Uniform
  • Pachyderme
  • War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John and Yoko

Best Live Action Short

  • The After
  • Invincible
  • Knight of Fortune
  • Red, White, and Blue
  • The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar *

Best Original Score

  • American Fiction
  • Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
  • Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Oppenheimer
  • Poor Things

Best Original Song

  • “Fire Inside” – Flamin’ Hot
  • “I’m Just Ken” – Barbie
  • “It Never Went Away” – American Symphony
  • “Wahzhazhe (A Song For My People)” – Killers of the Flower Moon
  • “What Was I Made For?” – Barbie *

Best Sound

  • The Creator
  • Maestro
  • Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One
  • Oppenheimer *
  • The Zone of Interest

Best Production Design

  • Barbie
  • Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Napoléon
  • Oppenheimer
  • Poor Things *

Best Cinematography

  • El Conde
  • Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Maestro
  • Oppenheimer *
  • Poor Things

Best Costume Design

  • Barbie *
  • Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Napoleon
  • Oppenheimer
  • Poor Things

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

  • Golda
  • Maestro *
  • Oppenheimer
  • Poor Things
  • Society of the Snow

Best Film Editing

  • Anatomy of a Fall
  • The Holdovers
  • Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Oppenheimer *
  • Poor Things

Best Visual Effects

  • The Creator
  • Godzilla Minus One *
  • Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
  • Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One
  • Napoléon

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