Golden Globe Predictions: The 5th Annual Sacred Wall Beat The Guru Golden Globes Competition

Well boys and girls, it’s time once again for the drunkest, most corrupt awards show in the business: the 76th Golden Globe Awards! This Sunday, Amy Poehler and Tina Fey return to host the first major awards show of the season – and only the second during this pandemic. Of course, this means it’s time for the 5th Annual Sacred Wall Beat The Guru Golden Globe Predictions! As always, this marks the occasion where I bring in the People’s Champion, and the Beth Harmon to my Mr. Shaibel, Lena Smith, to see if a woman of the people can defeat someone who has no life outside of awards season. Like Beth, I taught Lena everything I know, while she studied my teachings on the ceiling in her dorm room. And in return, she has beaten me not only in our Globe predictions the past few years – she’s also seriously threatening my Oscars stranglehold in our personal league! Thankfully, scores have been redeemed after her victory last year was revealed to be inaccurate upon recount, resulting in a tie. As it stands, the series is now 3-2-1 in Lena’s favor. Quite frankly, she must be stopped and I plan to smack her down like the Russian in The Queen’s Gambit (wait, Beth eventually wins that…sh*t). At any rate, this will be my last chance to beat her outright, as she will be adding a hyphenate to that name in a few months (although that’s what we thought last year…). So let’s stop with the niceties and get down to brass tacks, Book Smarts vs. Street Smarts. These are our predictions for this year’s Golden Globes!

Film

Best Drama

Travis: Best Drama will likely be one of the toughest categories of the night. While it’s possible that Mank or The Father could win, this is mostly a two-way race, with a third film playing spoiler. I’ve been getting real vibes in recent weeks that Promising Young Woman is a real contender, and could sweep in to dominate the Oscar race (it’s an entertaining film with an important plot, like Parasite and Get Out). But ultimately, this is a two-way race: the Globes’ beloved Trial of the Chicago 7 and Chloé Zhao’s Nomadland. The smart money is on Chicago 7, which has been popular with the guilds so far, and has the type of big, showy cast that the Globes tend to love (Three Billboards, etc.). But in all my years covering the Globes, I’ve never seen them go against the industry at large – they’ve always rewarded the frontrunner, and even the one year they didn’t (Bohemian Rhapsody), they changed the narrative to make it a frontrunner. If Nomadland’s coming for Best Picture, it’s going to start that campaign here. So I’m taking my first big risk by predicting Nomadland to beat Chicago 7 to win the day.
Prediction: Nomadland

Lena: The Trial of the Chicago 7

Best Musical/Comedy

Travis: Well, I think we can go ahead and rule out Music, which Lena has dubbed “probably the worst film in existence, and the greatest misstep in Globes history.” The Globes clearly didn’t like The Prom if Meryl can’t even earn a nomination for her most fun role in a decade. And despite being my favorite of the nominees, Palm Springs doesn’t stand much of a chance. Which leaves Hamilton and Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, a duo if I’ve ever seen one. I can’t shake a gut feeling it’s gonna be Hamilton – the Globes reportedly loved it, and rewarding a TV Movie in the film categories would be the exact type of insane thing we’ve come to expect up to this point. But for now, I’m going to play it safe and go with Borat Subsequent Moviefilm, which should sweep the comedy categories – and rightly so.
Prediction: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Lena: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Best Actor in a Drama

Travis: Another challenging category, should one overthink it. While Tahar Rahim and Gary Oldman are right out, there’s equally money to be made out of any of the other nominees. Having never won before, Anthony Hopkins has a rich legacy to rest his laurels on, should the Globes feel like honoring a legend. Plus, he’s the only real contender in this category with a film in Best Drama. Equally enticing is Riz Ahmed – the Globes love to shake up the race with a young up-and-comer with a showy performance, like they did with Eddie Redmayne and Rami Malek (two nominees I got wrong). But at the end of the day, it’s hard to imagine them voting against Chadwick Boseman. They clearly liked the performances a good deal, and Boseman’s death (and subsequent swan song performance) make for too good a narrative to pass up. Look for the Black Panther to posthumously take home the Globe.
Prediction: Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Lena: Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Best Actress in a Drama

Travis: This is the category that’s about to make or break the Oscars. These are most likely your Oscars Top 5, give or take a Zendaya, and with no clear frontrunner, whoever wins here is likely going to snowball to the finish line. Honestly, you could pick any of these five and you probably could find a winner. Andra Day could make for an entertaining f*ck you vote considering how much flack they got for nominating a film no one had seen yet (supposedly she’s great), but my money’s on Carey Mulligan. The Globes love Promising Young Woman, it’s bright and exciting, and Mulligan’s playing the online hand-shaking circuit better than anyone. Plus I love her, I love this performance, and I love the film. Mark this as me voting from the heart for Carey Mulligan.
Prediction: Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman

Lena: Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman

Best Actor in a Musical/Comedy

Travis: Don’t overthink it. While Lin-Manuel Miranda could win this if Hamilton does well, the Globes also adore Sacha Baron Cohen. Even if the film loses Best Musical, they’ll want to reward a previous winner who supposedly “took down a President” (well, a President’s lawyer, but don’t act like it didn’t shake up the campaign). Cohen’s winning this, mark my words.
Prediction: Sacha Baron Cohen – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Lena: Sacha Baron Cohen – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Best Actress in a Musical/Comedy

Travis: Don’t fight it. It’s Maria Bakalova. One of the year’s best, funniest performances, she could win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress, literally no competition without Meryl Streep…it’s gonna be Bakalova, bet on it in Vegas.
Prediction: Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Lena: Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Best Supporting Actor

Travis: Ooh, another hard one. No one really knows who’s going to win Best Supporting Actor this year. Any of these five have an equal shot. In fact, the only one I feel comfortable eliminating is Leslie Odom Jr., and that’s only because he’ll be winning the Song category, and the Globes clearly didn’t care too much for One Night In Miami…I’d say Murray doesn’t have too much of a shot, even though his is one of my favorite performances of the year, and while Jared Leto could pull off an Aaron Taylor-Johnson and win in a shocker, I’m not putting too much weight on that theory. Which leaves Cohen vs. Kaluuya. Listen, if the Globes love Chicago 7, it could be Cohen. I wouldn’t be surprised if Cohen pulls off the Sigourney Weaver (both awards at one show). But with Cohen already winning Comedy Actor, I think the Globes are going to want to reward an electrifying young performer at the top of his game. The Globes may not have bitten on Judas and the Black Messiah (one of the year’s best films, mind you), but they’ll be hard-pressed to ignore this performance – especially if giving Kaluuya the win means they can officially start his Oscar campaign (the film arrived too late for critical support). Look for Kaluuya to grab the win in a squeaker.
Prediction: Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah

Lena: Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah

Best Supporting Actress

Travis: Yet another challenging category – God, why are they all so hard this year? Normally we have at least two or three frontrunners to narrow things down to, but not this year – although I’m fairly confident that the Globes’ hatred of children will preclude Helena Zengel from the win. But otherwise, any of these four can win. Will the Globes continue their love affair with Glenn Close for her role as (*shiver) Mamaw? Or will it go to previous Lifetime Achievement winner Jodie Foster, who is so good in The Mauritanian? On paper, it’s insane to bet against Olivia Colman – she’s never lost a Golden Globe to date. But with Colman already winning another award for Best Actress – TV Drama (see below), I’m thinking the Globes will go a different direction, and reward their favorite type of actor: pretty young woman. That’s right, Mank’s big win is going to be for Amanda Seyfried in Best Supporting Actress, who is truly the heart of the film and will deserve the win. Plus, it’ll serve as the Globes’ f*ck you to the SAG Awards. It’s a bit of a risk, but it’s one I’m willing to take.
Prediction: Amanda Seyfried – Mank

Lena: Helena Zengel – News of the World (Ed. Note – I rest my case)

Best Director

Travis: I mean, don’t overthink this one. Unless The Trial of the Chicago 7 is about to clean sweep it, Chloé Zhao is about to win every director’s prize under the sun. Look for this as a sign of Sorkin’s dominance, but ultimately it’s Zhao’s to lose, and she ain’t losing.
Prediction: Chloé Zhao – Nomadland

Lena: Chloé Zhao – Nomadland

Best Screenplay

Travis: Best Screenplay is a return to difficulty. The Globes tend to go one of two ways here every year, and it’s always tough to pick. Either they reward their obvious favorite, like Green Book, Three Billboards, or Steve Jobs, or they throw in a fun curveball that changes the landscape, like Django Unchained, Her, or The People vs. Larry Flynt. I’d watch Promising Young Woman closely here – it could be the start of season-long dominance. But the Globes won’t want Chicago 7 to go home empty handed – this will be its big win of the night.
Prediction: The Trial of the Chicago 7

Lena: Promising Young Woman

Best Original Score

Travis: There’s a chance that James Newton Howard finally starts winning awards for his exciting score to News of the World – such a choice would really shake up the season. But I’d say this is a race between Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross and Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross. I’m giving the edge to their score for Mank, which might not win elsewhere. But don’t be surprised if Soul sneaks in.
Prediction: Mank

Lena: Soul

Best Original Song

Travis: God, what a boring selection of Original Songs. If I had to pick my favorite, it’d have to be “Fight For You.” But there’s no way H.E.R. is winning a Golden Globe – not this year, at least. I suppose if Billie Holiday really plays with the HFPA, Andra Day could win twice. And there’s a chance the Dianne Warren of it all carries “Io Sí” over the finish line. But in lieu of Eurovision or “Wuhan Flu,” I’m going to have to put my money on Leslie Odom Jr. winning Best Original Song for his decent little ballad “Speak Now.” It’ll be Miami…’s big win.
Prediction: “Speak Now” – One Night In Miami…

Lena: “Speak Now” – One Night In Miami…

Best Animated Film

Travis: Never bet against Pixar. Wolfwalkers could pull off the upset, but it’d be tough to beat Soul.
Prediction: Soul

Lena: Soul

Best Foreign Language Film

Travis: This category, in theory, could go any which way – The Life Ahead has Netflix backing, Another Round is the frontrunner, and La Llorona has the “cool” factor. But Minari is in contention for Best Picture, and is also, weirdly, American. Minari’s winning this, hands down.
Prediction: Minari

Lena: Minari

TV

Best Drama Series

Travis: It’s The Crown. Next question. Oh, did you want more? Why? There are no other nominees when compared to The Crown. It’s not just the most nominated show, it’s the most nominated anything. As popular as they are, not even Lovecraft Country or The Mandalorian can top it. The Globes are going to nominate their new favorite toy, and there’s nothing any of us can do to stop it (not that we’d want to). It’s The Crown.
Prediction: The Crown

Lena: The Mandalorian

Best Musical/Comedy Series

Travis: Best Musical/Comedy Series is bound to be a major battle between old vs. new, with a major spoiler thrown in for good measure. Honestly, I’m not too mad at any of these nominees – three of these are my favorite shows of the year, one I’ve heard is terrific, and Emily In Paris…well, I was never bored. And yes, Emily In Paris could win the Globe as a major f*ck you to the haters. But at the end of the day, it’s a battle between Schitt’s Creek and Ted Lasso, the two nicest shows on TV. Herein lies the problem: Schitt’s Creek is the odds-on favorite. It’s the show that got everyone through the pandemic, with love and laughter and support. It even swept the Emmys earlier this year. But that’s just it: it swept the Emmys. It’s no longer fresh. The Globes will feel like copycats. Does this mean that Ted Lasso, the little show that snuck up on everyone with heart and soul will sneak up and win it all? Who’s to say? I’m not betting against stats this time, but man, it’s gonna be close.
Prediction: Schitt’s Creek

Lena: Schitt’s Creek

Best Actor In A Drama Series

Travis: Really, any of these men can win. In the even of a Crown sweep, look for Josh O’Conner. Matthew Rhys has never won a Golden Globe…could he sneak in here? I’m honestly not sure. Therefore, I’m putting all my eggs in one basket: Jason Bateman for Ozark. Look, he can only get nominated so many times for the same show before they finally cave and reward him.
Prediction: Jason Bateman – Ozark

Lena: Matthew Rhys – Perry Mason

Best Actress In A Drama Series

Travis: It’s a two-way race between Olivia Colman and Emma Corrin; Queen Elizabeth vs. Princess Diana. Corrin’s a safe, smart bet – she was the heart of this past season, and she’s got that “pretty young blonde woman” thing the Globes creepily love so much. But…Colman doesn’t lose. It’s a rare thing – never happened at the Globes. And while I suspect she’ll suffer her first loss for Best Supporting Actress in the film categories, I think they’ll make it up to her here, for Best Actress in a Drama Series. Look for Colman to repeat over her younger, flashier costar.
Prediction: Olivia Colman – The Crown

Lena: Olivia Colman – The Crown

Best Actor In A Musical/Comedy Series

Travis: Best Actor is something of a two-way race. Eugene Levy has never won a Globe before, and he’s a real legend. It’d be fitting to see him win for the show his son created for him, and in the event of a Creek sweep, he’s a lock. But I think the Globes are going to want to be first somewhere with Ted Lasso. And while Levy often takes second-banana to his son on the beloved sitcom, Jason Sudeikis is the star of Ted Lasso. The show doesn’t work without him. So I’m taking a risk here and betting on the best damn football coach since Coach Taylor. If I’m wrong, I’ll just be a goldfish.
Prediction: Jason Sudeikis – Ted Lasso

Lena: Eugene Levy – Schitt’s Creek

Best Actress In A Musical/Comedy Series

Travis: Never bet against an ingenue. Even if you have Catherine O’Hara giving you the best television performance of the decade, you never bet against an ingenue. Look at Gina Rodriguez, Rachel Bloom, and Rachel Brosnahan. This year, we have two ingenues – although one’s kind of established at this point: Lily Collins and Kaley Cuoco. Collins has established herself as a Globes favorite before – she got nominated for that terrible Warren Beatty movie in 2016. But Cuoco’s Flight Attendant has taken the world by storm. I think the show’s striking the iron at just the right moment, and the Big Bang Theory star will pull off the surprise win over O’Hara for one of the biggest hits of the winter.
Prediction: Kaley Cuoco – The Flight Attendant

Lena: Kaley Cuoco – The Flight Attendant

Best Actor In A Limited Series/TV Movie

Travis: I don’t feel great about any of these nominees. The smart money’s on Mark Ruffalo – he won the Emmy, after all. But The Undoing is fresher and newer, and the Globes love to reward big movie stars like Ewan McGregor. Hugh Grant hasn’t won a Golden Globe since Four Weddings and a Funeral back in 1994 – it’s his time again. Put my money on Grant for that campy, campy HBO show.
Prediction: Hugh Grant – The Undoing

Lena: Ethan Hawke – The Good Lord Bird

Best Actress In A Limited Series/TV Movie

Travis: Normally I would pick Cate Blanchett for Mrs. America, but the Globes made it pretty clear they weren’t fans (Blanchett’s the only nominee here). A case could be made for Nicole Kidman (the Globes love here), but I think this is Anya Taylor-Joy’s year, considering she’s a double nominee and The Queen’s Gambit is one of the most-watched miniseries of all time. Beth Harmon for the win.
Prediction: Anya Taylor-Joy – The Queen’s Gambit

Lena: Anya Taylor-Joy – The Queen’s Gambit

Best Supporting Actor

Travis: Best Supporting Actor is kind of a tough race. While you can easily eliminate Donald Sutherland and Jim Parsons, the remaining three are in something of a dead heat. John Boyega is really remarkable in his film in the Small Axe series, and I can easily see him taking it. But he doesn’t have the “star power” of his competition (mainly because Star Wars royally f*cked him over). Meanwhile, Brendan Gleeson’s doesn’t necessarily deserve to win for his performance, but it is the Globes, and he’s playing Donald Trump. I do believe it is the law that should you receive an over 50% conviction in a Senate impeachment trial, you’re forced to watch a terrible miniseries about you win a Golden Globe (it’s in the Constitution, go look for yourself). But come on. How can you pass over Dan Levy for the final season of Schitt’s Creek? He’s the heart of the show, and if both his parents (literal or on screen) are going to lose, this would be the acting prize to give out. Levy’s going to bring home that Golden Globe to the Creek, mark my words.
Prediction: Dan Levy – Schitt’s Creek

Lena: John Boyega – Small Axe

Best Supporting Actress

Travis: Listen, this one’s a no-brainer. At best, Annie Murphy could sneak in through a Schitt’s Creek sweep. Otherwise, it’s Gillian Anderson’s to lose thanks to her definitive performance of the Iron Lady on the Globes’ favorite show. Don’t overthink it.
Prediction: Gillian Anderson – The Crown

Lena: Gillian Anderson – The Crown

Best Limited Series/TV Movie

Travis: Well, I think we can rule out Small Axe, considering how the Globes feel about Black people this year. I’d also say Normal People and Unorthodox failed to hit while the iron was hot, so you can cut them pretty easily as well. Which leaves The Queen’s Gambit and The Undoing. Classical Hollywood vs. High Camp. While it feels rather fitting that the Globes would pick The Undoing for this category, it feels foolish to bet against The Queen’s Gambit. The Globes have been salivating to be the first to reward this show, and with the opportunity finally upon them, it seems inevitable for the show to take home the top prize.
Prediction: The Queen’s Gambit

Lena: The Queen’s Gambit

Well, that wraps up this year’s Beat The Guru Golden Globe Predictions! Sorry that Lena’s insights are so vague this year, she’s too busy pandemic-ing to do a proper write-up (she did offer up a totally helpful “Wow, such a hard choice, just like every year.” This is why I’m the writer and Lena’s…well, actually getting paid). We both hope you tune in on Sunday to find out who wins both the Globes and the greatest rivalry since the Packers and the Vikings. The 76th Golden Globe Awards will begin at 8:00 pm on NBC, and you can follow along on the Sacred Wall at home. See you then!

Film

Best Drama

  • The Father
  • Mank
  • Nomadland    T
  • Promising Young Woman
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7    L

Best Comedy

  • Borat Subsequent Moviefilm    T L
  • Hamilton
  • Music
  • Palm Springs
  • The Prom

Best Actor in a Drama

  • Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal
  • Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom    T L
  • Anthony Hopkins – The Father
  • Gary Oldman – Mank
  • Tahar Rahim – The Mauritanian

Best Actress in a Drama

  • Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
  • Andra Day – The United States vs. Billie Holiday
  • Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman
  • Frances McDormand – Nomadland
  • Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman    T L

Best Actor in a Comedy

  • Sacha Baron Cohen – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm   T L
  • James Corden – The Prom
  • Lin-Manuel Miranda – Hamilton
  • Dev Patel – The Personal History of David Copperfield
  • Andy Samberg – Palm Springs

Best Actress in a Comedy

  • Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm   T L
  • Kate Hudson – Music
  • Michelle Pfeiffer – French Exit
  • Rosamund Pike – I Care A Lot
  • Anya Taylor-Joy – Emma.

Best Supporting Actor

  • Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of the Chicago 7
  • Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah   T L
  • Jared Leto – The Little Things
  • Bill Murray – On The Rocks
  • Leslie Odom, Jr. – One Night In Miami

Best Supporting Actress

  • Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy
  • Olivia Colman – The Father
  • Jodie Foster – The Mauritanian
  • Amanda Seyfried – Mank   T
  • Helena Zengel – News of the World   L

Best Director

  • Emerald Fennell – Promising Young Woman
  • David Fincher – Mank
  • Regina King – One Night In Miami…
  • Aaron Sorkin – The Trial of the Chicago 7
  • Chloé Zhao – Nomadland   T L

Best Screenplay

  • Promising Young Woman   L
  • Mank
  • The Trial of the Chicago 7   T
  • The Father
  • Nomadland

Best Original Score

  • Mank   T
  • The Midnight Sky
  • News of the World
  • Soul   L
  • Tenet

Best Original Song

  • “Fight For You” – Judas and the Black Messiah
  • “Hear My Voice” – The Trial of The Chicago 7
  • “Io Sì (Seen)” – The Life Ahead
  • “Speak Now” – One Night In Miami…    T L
  • “Tigress & Tweed” – The United States vs Billie Holiday

Best Animated Feature

  • The Croods: A New Age
  • Onward
  • Over the Moon
  • Soul    T L
  • Wolfwalkers

Best Foreign Language Feature

  • Another Round
  • La Llorona
  • The Life Ahead
  • Minari    T L
  • Two of Us

TV

Best Drama Series

  • The Crown    T
  • Lovecraft Country
  • The Mandalorian    L
  • Ozark
  • Ratched

Best Comedy Series

  • Emily In Paris
  • The Flight Attendant
  • The Great
  • Schitt’s Creek    T L
  • Ted Lasso

Best Actor in a Drama Series

  • Jason Bateman – Ozark    T L
  • Josh O’Conner – The Crown
  • Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul
  • Al Pacino – Hunters
  • Matthew Rhys – Perry Mason

Best Actress in a Drama Series

  • Olivia Colman – The Crown    T L
  • Jodie Comer – Killing Eve
  • Emma Corrin – The Crown
  • Laura Linney – Ozark
  • Sarah Paulson – Ratched

Best Actor in a Comedy Series

  • Don Cheadle – Black Monday
  • Nicholas Hoult – The Great
  • Eugene Levy – Schitt’s Creek   L
  • Jason Sudeikis – Ted Lasso    T
  • Ramy Youssef – Ramy

Best Actress in a Comedy Series

  • Lily Collins – Emily in Paris
  • Kaley Cuoco – The Flight Attendant    T L
  • Elle Fanning – The Great
  • Jane Levy – Zoey’s Extraordinary Playlist
  • Catherine O’Hara – Schitt’s Creek

Best Actor in a Miniseries/TV Movie

  • Bryan Cranston – Your Honor
  • Jeff Daniels – The Comey Rule
  • Hugh Grant – The Undoing    T L
  • Ethan Hawke – The Good Lord Bird
  • Mark Ruffalo – I Know This Much Is True

Best Actress in a Miniseries/TV Movie

  • Cate Blanchett – Mrs. America
  • Daisy Edgar-Jones – Normal People
  • Shira Haas – Unorthodox
  • Nicole Kidman – The Undoing
  • Anya Taylor-Joy – The Queen’s Gambit    T L

Best Supporting Actor

  • John Boyega – Small Axe   L
  • Brendan Gleeson – The Comey Rule
  • Dan Levy – Schitt’s Creek   T
  • Jim Parsons – Hollywood
  • Donald Sutherland – The Undoing

Best Supporting Actress

  • Gillian Anderson – The Crown   T L
  • Helena Bonham Carter – The Crown
  • Julia Garner – Ozark
  • Annie Murphy – Schitt’s Creek
  • Cynthia Nixon – Ratched

Best Miniseries/TV Movie

  • Normal People
  • The Queen’s Gambit   T L
  • Small Axe
  • The Undoing
  • Unorthodox

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