Well, folks, it’s finally time. Television’s drunkest, potentially most broken awards show in the business is back after a one-year hiatus: the 80^th Golden Globe Awards. Yes, the Globes were banished from television last year while the Hollywood Foreign Press Association dealt with internal issues of racism, bribery, sexism, and beyond. They claim they’ve fixed the problem. Time will tell. But in the meantime, Jerrod Carmichael will oversee tonight’s official kickoff to awards season, with The Banshees of Inisherin and Abbott Elementary leading the way in their respective fields. And that means it’s time for the 6^th Annual Sacred Wall Beat The Guru Golden Globe Predictions!

For those of you who don’t remember, as my colleague and I opted out of last year’s untelevised ceremony, every year I officially publish my personal competition with my good friend and archrival Lena Hagedorn. It’s a competition going back to college, when this woman of the people pulled off the upset of the world and beat me at awards prognostication. As of today, the series stands at 3-3-1, meaning this is my chance to claim the title for the first time in our history.

Now, Lena didn’t have as much time this year to do her usual write-ups. She’s been raising her little gremlin puppy (her words, not mine), whom she conveniently named Maisel after the previous Globe winner, I assume solely to spite me. But she did share some brief thoughts on it all, which I will transcribe below.

“Ugh, I didn’t have enough time for good commentary this year. I guess I can just say I’m rooting for Everything Everywhere All At Once, even though that film caused a rift between my mother-in-law and sister-in-law at Christmas. All I have left to say is ITS [sic] ON!”

Indeed it is, Lena. Indeed it is. So, with that all out of the way, it’s time to kick off our battle of Book Smarts and Street Smarts, Master and Apprentice, and see just what our predictions are for this year’s Golden Globes!

Film

Best Drama

Travis: Best Drama might be the hardest category to predict of all the categories – maybe the hardest. There’s a case to be made for at least four of these film – basically everything except Tár. The Globes love both Cameron and Spielberg, so whichever wins Best Director is your frontrunner here. You can’t rule out Elvis, though, considering Butler is your Actor frontrunner (more on that in a minute). And when it comes to big splashy hits, Top Gun is right there. But despite its box office struggles, I expect this to sit squarely with Spielberg, even if I’m not as confident as I was a month ago.
Prediction: The Fabelmans 

Lena: The Fabelmans

Best Musical/Comedy

Travis: Probably the toughest category of the night. In fact, the battle between Everything Everywhere All At Once and The Banshees of Inisherin may actually end up being the final Oscar race. Here, I’m giving the edge to Everything Everywhere, as it likely has a better night on the horizon than Banshees. But keep in mind: this moment could shift any which way at any given moment.
Prediction: Everything Everywhere All At Once

Lena: Everything Everywhere All At Once 

Best Actor In A Drama 

Travis: Brendan Fraser has been the frontrunner all year, but A24’s struggles promoting the film and the fact Fraser won’t be there (he was horrifically blacklisted from the industry for years after he accused the head of the HFPA of groping him) makes him a weak target for a win. Instead, I’m looking at the Globes’ legacy as a Kingmaker – literally, in this case – as Austin Butler should launch a late comeback to become the new Best Actor frontrunner.
Prediction: Austin Butler – Elvis 

Lena: Brendan Fraser – The Whale

Best Actress In A Drama

Travis: This one feels kind of done. While Michelle Williams could shake up the race and sneak out the win (perhaps even elevating Fabelmans as a Best Drama winner), this is Cate Blanchett’s trophy, full-stop. Don’t bother making any bets against her, you’ll just lose money.
Prediction: Cate Blanchett – TÁR

Lena: Cate Blanchett – TÁR

Best Actor In A Musical/Comedy

Travis: Another race that’s over and done with. Colin Farrell is a frontrunner to win this year, the Globes historically love him, and the competition is relatively tame. I wouldn’t be surprised if the trophy was already engraved.
Prediction: Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin

Lena: Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin 

Best Actress In A Musical/Comedy

Travis: Michelle Yeoh’s journey to this trophy isn’t as clear cut as Blanchett’s (her biggest Oscar rival). After all, Margot Robbie is right there, in an equally beloved film. But come on. It’s Michelle Yeoh. In a film the Globes love. Giving a world-class performance. This one is pretty much over.
Prediction: Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All At Once

Lena: Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All At Once 

Best Supporting Actor

Travis: Technically, I guess one of the Banshee boys could pull off an upset. After all, Troy Kotsur lost this award last year. But this race has been over for the entire season. It’s Ke Huy Quan’s time. Put a bow on it, stick a fork in it, and call it done. Give the best performer his prize.
Prediction: Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All At Once

Lena: Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All At Once

Best Supporting Actress

Travis: This one’s a two-way race, with a potential spoiler lurking in the shadows. In the one corner is the living legend, Jamie Lee Curtis, a symbol of massive support for Everything Everywhere. In the other corner is the character actor shining through in Kerry Condon, arguably the best performance in Inisherin. I expect one of these two wins, unless we are on the precipice of an Angela Bassett surge, and the legendary actress wins for Black Panther. I’m giving the edge to Curtis, but don’t be surprised by any of these outcomes.
Prediction: Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All At Once

Lena: Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin 

Best Director

Travis: This category is weird because, unlike the rest of them, there’s not really a clear frontrunner. If Everything Everywhere clears the board, then the Daniels have a shot. James Cameron has won two of these already – maybe he’s about to get a third. If Elvis shakes things up, maybe Luhrmann wins. But when in doubt, play things safe. I’m going with Steven Spielberg for my Best Drama prediction, The Fabelmans.
Prediction: Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans

Lena: James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water

Best Screenplay

Travis: All five of these scripts are great and deserve to win, let me just throw that out there. Now, personally, I think it’s between Everything Everywhere and Banshees of Inisherin. If Everything Everywhere starts to sweep, it could win Screenplay as well. But if Banshees is the most nominated film, there’s no way it’s going home empty-handed. I’m going with Banshees of Inisherin by a nose – or a finger, as the case may be.
Prediction: The Banshees of Inisherin

Lena: Everything Everywhere All At Once

Best Original Score

Travis: Again, these are five world-class scores. I love all of them deeply. But if there are two that feel in a different category from the rest, and most likely to win here, it’d have to be Babylon and Women Talking. Personally, I like Babylon’s score a teeny bit more, and Justin Hurwitz is 2/2 with the Globes. But Hildur Guonadóttir is also a previous winner, her work in Women Talking is stunning, and if they give the film Score, they can take some of the heat off for snubbing it everywhere else. Look for Women Talking to take home the prize for Best Original Score.
Prediction: Women Talking

Lena: I gotta stay true to Damien. Babylon all the way.
Prediction: Babylon

Best Original Song

Travis: God, I want it to be “Naatu Naatu.” That would absolutely rule. But it’s going to be the Rihanna song for Black Panther – which is honestly hard to be mad at.
Prediction: “Lift Me Up” – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Lena: “Naatu Naatu” – RRR

Best Animated Film

Travis: I mean, stick a fork in it. Unless we see a Marcel the Shell miracle, this one’s going to Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio.
Prediction: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio

Lena: Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (ed. Note: I’m surprised Lena didn’t pick Marcel, given that was her nickname in college – I believe assigned by her now-husband)

Best Foreign Language Film

Travis: There’s a chance momentum could form here for Decision to Leave, All Quiet on the Western Front or Close, but I don’t think the Academy’s going to miss a chance to rub things in with the Academy. Look for the terrific RRR to win Best Foreign Language Film.
Prediction: RRR

Lena: RRR

TV

Best Drama Series

Travis: The TV categories are a bit more challenging this year, starting with Best Drama. I’d say one could remove the now-ended Ozark and Better Call Saul from the field – neither show had an impact during their life, and I doubt they’ll have one from the grave. While bad reviews haven’t stopped the Globes before, I think the lack of momentum and buzz also removes The Crown from the conversation. This leaves Severance and House of the Dragon. Severance is the more popular choice based on nominations, but come on. It’s the Globes. They love ratings, and they love fandoms. House of the Dragon all the way.
Prediction: House of the Dragon

Lena: Severance 

Best Musical/Comedy Series

Travis: Thankfully, Best Musical/Comedy Series is much easier. The Globes love to be the first to award something, both for clout and as a f*ck you to the Emmys. They picked Hacks over Ted Lasso last year, for example. This year, expect Hacks to lose to one of the freshman series. And while The Bear has a chance (we’ll discuss Wednesday later), there’s nothing the Globes would love more than to beat the Emmys to awarding the most talked-about show of 2022, Abbott Elementary.
Prediction: Abbott Elementary

Lena: Abbott Elementary

Best Limited Series

Travis: Limited Series is a bit tougher this year than in the past. Normally there’s one show dominating over the rest and a handful of “lucky to be here” choices. This year, there’ several with a chance to win. I do, however, think we can reasonably narrow this down to The White Lotus and Dahmer (or whatever its aggressively long name is), the two most talked-about shows of the year. Dahmer has a real chance – it was a monster hit and has several acting nominations. But The White Lotus has pedigree and feels smarter. Expect Lotus to eek out the win, but just barely.
Prediction: The White Lotus: Sicily

Lena: The White Lotus: Sicily

Best Actor In A Drama Series

Travis: Yet another challenging category, loaded with big names. I do think that we can narrow it down to two, however: Adam Scott and Bob Odenkirk. If Severance is winning, then look for Scott to take this one, too. But as I’ve said before, the Globes love being petty and rubbing in the Emmys’ faults. They won’t be able to pass up being the only show to award Odenkirk’s all-time great performance. I’m picking Odenkirk, if only for wishful thinking.
Prediction: Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul

Lena: Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul

Best Actress In A Drama Series

Travis: I mean, a no-brainer. The Globes love young, rising stars (especially women), and there’s not a single name on this list that elicits excitement other than Zendaya. Mark this one down as an easy win.
Prediction: Zendaya – Euphoria

Lena: Zendaya – Euphoria

Best Actor In A Musical/Comedy Series

Travis: Arguably one of the toughest categories of the night, pretty much all of these gents have a case except for Donald Glover. If I had to guess, the Only Murders fellas will split the vote (hard to choose Martin over Short, and vice versa), which leaves Bill Hader and Jeremy Allen White. I’m very tempted to pick White, whose performance as Carmy is one of TV’s best from the last year. But Hader is a bigger name, the creator of his show, and did some really interesting things this past season. I think he eeks out the win in a nail-biter.
Prediction: Bill Hader – Barry

Lena: Jeremy Allen White – The Bear

Best Actress In A Musical/Comedy Series 

Travis: This is a tough category, and it’s one where I’m going to have to embrace a “go big or go home” mentality. The smart money is on Jean Smart for Hacks. If you’re expecting an Abbott sweep, then Quinta Brunson is the move. But knowing the Globes, I know that they love a young actress in a career-making role. So I’m going with Jenna Ortega for Netflix’s huge hit Wednesday.
Prediction: Jenna Ortega – Wednesday

Lena: Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary

Best Actor In A Limited Series

Travis: The Globes are known for their love of two things: big performances and trash. Therefore, don’t worry about Egerton (no matter how tempting it is to make him the all-time youngest dual winner), Firth, Garfield, or Stan. No one was bigger or trashier than Evan Peters this year.
Prediction: Evan Peters – Dahmer: Monster – The Jeffrey Dahmer Story

Lena: Andrew Garfield – Under the Banner of Heaven 

Best Actress In A Limited Series

Travis: I mean, sure, Jessica Chastain or Julia Roberts feel like smarter choices based on name recognition. But let’s not kid ourselves: Amanda Seyfried will continue sweeping throughout the season.
Prediction: Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout 

Lena: Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout

Best Supporting Actor In A Drama or Comedy Series

Travis: Again, not much in the way of frontrunners. If The Old Man is more popular than expected, then I suppose John Lithgow could win out. And again, Severance could overperform and carry John Turturro across the finish line. More likely, however, we’re looking at Tyler James Williams vs. Henry Winkler. Now, I’d love to see Gregory win here – Williams’ performance on Abbott is so f*cking funny. But more than likely, legendary Henry Winkler will win this one due to the range of his performance – one minute it’s a sobering, haunting dramatic turn, the next he’s in a battle with a group of dogs. He should win this one, albeit not easily.
Prediction: Henry Winkler – Barry

Lena: Henry Winkler – Barry 

Best Supporting Actress In A Drama or Comedy Series 

Travis: I feel much more confident calling this race over and done with. I mean, sure, Julia Garner just wrapped a final season of Ozark. And Elizabeth Debicki gave a strong turn as Princess Diana on The Crown. But Sheryl Lee Ralph is giving one of TV’s all-time great comedic performances, and has a penchant for delivering showstopping thank-you speeches at award shows. The Globes aren’t going to want to pass this one up.
Prediction: Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary

Lena: Julia Garner – Ozark

Best Supporting Actor In A Limited Series

Travis: Best Supporting Actor In A Limited Series is far and away the hardest category of the bunch. None of these actors feel like a frontrunner, and even if they did, this is the most likely category for a shocker to sneak through. The only two I feel safe eliminating are Seth Rogen and Richard Jenkins. After that? It’s a crapshoot. F. Murray Abraham has the buzzier show, Domhnall Gleeson has the flashier part, and Paul Walter Hauser has the benefit of being in a much-loved show where he – a relative unknown – gives the best performance. Personally, I’d narrow it down to Hauser or Gleeson, and give the edge to Hauser – watch him shock the world.
Prediction: Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird

Lena: Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird

Best Supporting Actress In A Limited Series 

Travis: Thankfully, for our final category, we have a relative cakewalk. Sorry to the rest of these women, but Jennifer Coolidge’s much-memed performance is taking this one again. End of story.
Prediction: Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus: Sicily

Lena: Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus: Sicily

Well, that wraps up this year’s Beat the Guru Golden Globe Predictions! We both hope you tune in later tonight to find out who wins both the Globes and the most exciting rivalry this year (suck it, Ohio State!). The 80^th Golden Globe Awards will begin at 8:00 pm on NBC, and you can follow along right here at The Sacred Wall for live updates. See you then!

Film

Best Motion Picture Drama

• Avatar: The Way of Water
• Elvis
• The Fabelmans  T L
• Tár
• Top Gun: Maverick

Best Motion Picture Musical or Comedy

• Babylon
• The Banshees of Inisherin
• Everything Everywhere All At Once   T L
• Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
• Triangle of Sadness

Best Actor in a Drama

• Austin Butler – Elvis   T
• Brendan Fraser – The Whale   L
• Hugh Jackman – The Son
• Bill Nighy – Living
• Jeremy Pope – The Inspection

Best Actress in a Drama

• Cate Blanchett – Tár   T L
• Olivia Colman – Empire of Light
• Viola Davis – The Woman King
• Ana de Armas – Blonde
• Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans

Best Actor in a Musical or Comedy

• Diego Calva – Babylon
• Daniel Craig – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
• Adam Driver – White Noise
• Colin Farrell – The Banshees of Inisherin   T L
• Ralph Fiennes – The Menu

Best Actress in a Musical or Comedy

• Lesley Manville – Mrs. Harris Goes To Paris
• Margot Robbie – Babylon
• Anya Taylor-Joy – The Menu
• Emma Thompson – Good Luck To You, Leo Grande
• Michelle Yeoh – Everything Everywhere All At Once   T L

Best Supporting Actor

• Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin
• Berry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin
• Brad Pitt – Babylon
• Ke Huy Kwan – Everything Everywhere All At Once   T L
• Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse

Best Supporting Actress

• Angela Bassett – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
• Kerry Condon – The Banshees of Inisherin   L
• Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All At Once   T
• Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness
• Carrie Mulligan – She Said

Best Director

• James Cameron – Avatar: The Way of Water    L
• Daniels – Everything Everywhere All At Once
• Baz Luhrmann – Elvis
• Martin McDonagh – The Banshees of Inisherin
• Steven Spielberg – The Fabelmans   T

Best Screenplay

• The Banshees of Inisherin   T
• Everything Everywhere All At Once    L
• The Fabelmans
• Tár
• Women Talking

Best Original Score

• Babylon   L
• The Banshees of Inisherin
• The Fabelmans
• Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
• Women Talking    T

Best Original Song

• “Carolina” – Where the Crawdads Sing
• “Ciao Papa” – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
• “Hold My Hand” – Top Gun: Maverick
• “Lift Me Up” – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever    T
• “Naatu Naatu” – RRR    L

Best Animated Film

• Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio    T L
• Inu-Oh
• Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
• Puss In Boots: The Last Wish
• Turning Red

Best Foreign Language Film

• All Quiet on the Western Front
• Argentina, 1985
• Close
• Decision To Leave
• RRR   T L

Television

Best Drama Series

• Better Call Saul
• The Crown
• House of the Dragon   T
• Ozark
• Severance    L

Best Musical or Comedy Series

• Abbott Elementary    T L
• The Bear
• Hacks
• Only Murders In The Building
• Wednesday

Best Miniseries/TV Movie

• Black Bird
• Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
• Pam & Tommy
• The Dropout
• The White Lotus: Sicily    T L

Best Actor in a Drama Series

• Jeff Bridges – The Old Man
• Kevin Costner – Yellowstone
• Diego Luna – Andor
• Bob Odenkirk – Better Call Saul    T L
• Adam Scott – Severance

Best Actress in a Drama Series

• Emma D’Arcy – House of the Dragon
• Laura Linney – Ozark
• Imelda Staunton – The Crown
• Hilary Swank – Alaska Daily
• Zendaya – Euphoria   T L

Best Actor in a Musical/Comedy

• Donald Glover – Atlanta
• Bill Hader – Barry   T
• Steve Martin – Only Murders in the Building
• Martin Short – Only Murders In The Building
• Jeremy Allen White – The Bear    L

Best Actress in a Musical/Comedy

• Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary   L
• Kaley Cuoco – The Flight Attendant
• Selena Gomez – Only Murders In The Building
• Jenna Ortega – Wednesday   T
• Jean Smart – Hacks

Best Actor in a Miniseries/TV Movie

• Taron Egerton – Black Bird
• Colin Firth – The Staircase
• Andrew Garfield – Under the Banner of Heaven    L
• Evan Peters – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story    T
• Sebastian Stan – Pam & Tommy

Best Actress in a Miniseries/TV Movie

• Jessica Chastain – George & Tammy
• Julia Garner – Inventing Anna
• Lily James – Pam & Tommy
• Julia Roberts – Gaslit
• Amanda Seyfried – The Dropout    T L

Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy or Drama Series

• John Lithgow – The Old Man
• Jonathan Pryce – The Crown
• John Turturro – Severance
• Tyler James Williams – Abbott Elementary
• Henry Winkler – Barry    T L

Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy or Drama Series

• Elizabeth Debicki – The Crown
• Hannah Einbinder – Hacks
• Julia Garner – Ozark     L
• Janelle James – Abbott Elementary
• Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary    T

Best Supporting Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie

• F. Murray Abraham – The White Lotus
• Domhnall Gleeson – The Patient
• Paul Walter Hauser – Black Bird    T L
• Richard Jenkins – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
• Seth Rogen – Pam & Tommy

Best Supporting Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie

• Jennifer Coolidge – The White Lotus  T L
• Claire Danes – Fleischman Is in Trouble
• Daisy Edgar-Jones – Under the Banner of Heaven
• Niecy Nash-Betts – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story
• Aubrey Plaza – The White Lotus